So, I'm sure all of you have noticed that Obama is now winning the electoral college 328-210 in the counter on the main page.  How has he gotten this far ahead, after months of trailing by large margins on this site's counter?  Well, the curious methodology of this site had previously given us such odd results as Obama losing New York while winning North Dakota, but that can't entirely explain it.

A while back I broke down the likely delegate splits in Oregon and in Kentucky, now I'll take a look at the remaining states West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota.

I'll start with West Virginia, which has 28 delegates to award on May 13.  They break down as follows (from the Green Papers:

• 10 delegates by statewide total




• 7 At-Large delegates


• 3 PLEO delegates




• 18 district delegates




• 6 delegates to WV-01


• 6 delegates to WV-02


• 6 delegates to WV-03

Yesterday I gave Oregon a try, today I'll try Kentucky, which votes on the same day.

Kentucky has 51 pledged delegates to award on its May 20 contest.  They break down as follows (from the Green Papers:

• 17 delegates by statewide total




• 11 At-Large delegates


• 6 PLEO delegates




• 34 district delegates




• 5 delegates to KY-01


• 5 delegates to KY-02


• 8 delegates to KY-03


• 5 delegates to KY-04


• 5 delegates to KY-05


• 6 delegates to KY-06

Oregon has 52 pledged delegates to award on its May 20 contest.  They break down as follows (from the Green Papers:

• 18 delegates by statewide total




• 12 At-Large delegates


• 6 PLEO delegates




• 34 district delegates




• 7 delegates to OR-01


• 5 delegates to OR-02


• 9 delegates to OR-03


• 7 delegates to OR-04


• 6 delegates to OR-05