MyDD :: Rasmussen: Obama up 11 in New Hampshire, down 3 in Nevada

Rasmussen: Obama up 11 in New Hampshire, down 3 in Nevada

by oden, Fri Jun 20, 2008 at 03:54:38 PM EST

Rasmussen has a couple polls out today. One for New Hampshire and one for Nevada.
In New Hampshire, Obama is up 11. Just a few days ago, ARG had a poll with Obama up 12, so things are looking pretty good for New Hampshire at the moment. I've heard the media talk about how strong of a chance McCain has there, but the polls are not backing that up at the moment.
In Nevada, he is showing Obama down 3, but that is a 3 point improvement over a month ago.

"Barack Obama has more than doubled his lead over John McCain in the first poll conducted in New Hampshire since Hillary Clinton's exit from the race. The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in the Granite State found Obama ahead 50% to 39%."

"Obama's insignificant two-point lead among women voters last month has bounced to a sixteen-point lead this month. His lead among male voters is nearly the same; he now leads McCain by seven percentage points among men, little changed from eight points last month."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c ontent/politics/election_20082/2008_pres idential_election/new_hampshire/election _2008_new_hampshire_presidential_electio n

For Nevada,
"The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey in Nevada shows John McCain attracting 45% of the vote while Barack Obama earns 42%. A month ago, McCain had a six point lead and two months ago ago the GOP hopeful was up by five. "

"In Nevada, McCain leads by fourteen points among men but trails by eight among women."

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_c ontent/politics/election_20082/2008_pres idential_election/nevada/election_2008_n evada_presidential_election

Tags: Obama, polls, New Hampshire, Nevada, Rasmussen (all tags)

Permalink :: 5 Comments :: Post a Comment

Good News (none / 0)

Obama will continue to trend up as we near the election.

by parahammer on Fri Jun 20, 2008 at 03:57:55 PM EST

Good to see us playing on GOP turf (none / 0)

Obama should be in good shape in almost all of the Kerry states. And he's within striking distance in a broad array of Bush states. This should allow him to leverage his massive fundraising edge to force Li'l Mac to play defense.

And yes, the women are coming home. Always figured that they would, even while as a Clinton supporter I was hoping they would hold out and bolster the case for Hillary as VP. At this point, I don't even care about that. I don't think that it's Obama's best move to put her on the ticket, and I don't think that it's her best move to be on the ticket. She's got all the cred she needs to run when there is the next opportunity. Being VP is not a help. Only thing her being VP would do is to ensure one less rival when (and I am pretty sure she will) she runs again!

by activatedbybush on Fri Jun 20, 2008 at 04:27:18 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama up 11 in New Hampshire, down (none / 0)

The bad news is I suspect the only way Obama will win Nevada is if there is record turnout among African-American and Latino voters. The good news is I think this is likely. This would have no impact on New Hampshire, of course.

by IncognitoErgoSum on Fri Jun 20, 2008 at 05:05:20 PM EST

Re: Rasmussen: Obama up 11 in New Hampshire, down (none / 0)

Barr should slice away some voters from McCain, that should help.

by parahammer on Fri Jun 20, 2008 at 05:22:03 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Rasmussen: Obama up 11 (none / 0)

This is good. As Obama locks down every single Kerry state he can move outwards. He starts with 252 electoral votes, throw in Iowa and New Mexico (two states Gore won, and that Obama has polled ahead in) and it's 264. Obama just needs 5 more votes to hit 269 and deny McCain the presidency (though 270 would obviously be a better way to win). He could get those 5 votes in Nevada, but I think Ohio is more likely, and there is always Colorado, Virginia, Missouri, and Florida. The point is, Obama can win any of those states to become president. McCain has to win them ALL.

by Skaje on Fri Jun 20, 2008 at 06:33:46 PM EST

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