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WV, MT, and SD delegate predictions

A while back I broke down the likely delegate splits in Oregon and in Kentucky, now I'll take a look at the remaining states West Virginia, Montana, and South Dakota.

I'll start with West Virginia, which has 28 delegates to award on May 13.  They break down as follows (from the Green Papers:


  • 10 delegates by statewide total


    • 7 At-Large delegates

    • 3 PLEO delegates


  • 18 district delegates


    • 6 delegates to WV-01

    • 6 delegates to WV-02

    • 6 delegates to WV-03


Kentucky Delegate Predictions

Yesterday I gave Oregon a try, today I'll try Kentucky, which votes on the same day.

Kentucky has 51 pledged delegates to award on its May 20 contest.  They break down as follows (from the Green Papers:


  • 17 delegates by statewide total


    • 11 At-Large delegates

    • 6 PLEO delegates


  • 34 district delegates


    • 5 delegates to KY-01

    • 5 delegates to KY-02

    • 8 delegates to KY-03

    • 5 delegates to KY-04

    • 5 delegates to KY-05

    • 6 delegates to KY-06


Oregon Delegate Predictions

Oregon has 52 pledged delegates to award on its May 20 contest.  They break down as follows (from the Green Papers:


  • 18 delegates by statewide total


    • 12 At-Large delegates

    • 6 PLEO delegates


  • 34 district delegates


    • 7 delegates to OR-01

    • 5 delegates to OR-02

    • 9 delegates to OR-03

    • 7 delegates to OR-04

    • 6 delegates to OR-05


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